Martin Jacques : Understanding the rise of China

Martin Jacques at TEDSalon London 2010  (transcript)
Understanding the rise of China
Summary
It was better for me to read his another article. It made me understood.
The speaker tells us in the story three points what China is, two expectations for how China will become, and his opinions on why we don't understand.

Three points of what China is are the notion of civilization-state against the race, the nature of the state, and the relationship to society.
First, China is not really a nation-state but a civilization-state. The notion of civilization-state against the race is that we learned from his previous article. Over thousands of years, many processes, culture, racial, and ethnic have been weakened by many races that comprised the ancient Chinese called the Han. There's much race, however, it weakened no longer significant. 1)
A civilization-state doesn't work on the basis of one civilization with one system. It works on one civilization with many systems like there are Taiwan and Hong Kong in China. 2)
The Chinese state enjoys more legitimacy and more authority amongst the Chiese than any Western state. 3)

Two expectations for how China will become are below and note that 8 years have passed since the story was told.
China is a huge developing country with a population of 1.3 billion people and it will grow more. 1)
China which is a developing country will become the dominant country in the world. It's for the first time in the modern era. 2)

His opinions on why we don't understand are the reasons that our predictions about what's going to happen to China are incorrect when we try understanding China.
We look at China through Western eyes, 1) and we are ignorant. 2)

China is not a democratic country and the power of the Chinese state has not been challenged for 1000 years. There is no other country like China and we have to think about China is a completely new country in the world.